Risk Analysis

Of no particular significance – an excerpt from advice I sent to a friend:

“Life is full of risk versus benefit analysis. As always, you should make your own assessment. Above all, don’t rely on the “general consensus”. Those generals are idiots.”

I have no idea why I’m putting this here, except that I like the way that came out. (Hurts arm, patting self on back…)

In the same vein, following is a quote from “The Notebooks of Lazarus Long” by Robert A. Heinlein:

“What are the facts? Again and again and again-what are the facts? Shun wishful thinking, ignore divine revelation, forget what “the stars foretell,” avoid opinion, care not what the neighbors think, never mind the unguessable “verdict of history”–what are the facts, and to how many decimal places? You pilot always into an unknown future; facts are your single clue. Get the facts!”

Robert A. Heinlein made a great impression on me in my teenage and young adult years, and I adopted a lot of his world-view, with some notable exceptions. He wrote a great many excellent novels, but my favorites were probably “Time Enough For Love”, “Stranger in a Strange Land”, and “The Moon is a Harsh Mistress”. These books are guaranteed to make you question your basic assumptions, while entertaining you. You may not agree with him, but he will certainly make you think. Highly recommended.


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